Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 25

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Poole Town		Plymouth Parkway

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5
	1.55	3.8	4.85
	1.54	4.39	5.21	Watch
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.5	3.82	5.77
	1.5	4.2	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)	3.99 ↑ (3.83)	5.28 (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
60%

Draw
22.8%

Plymouth Parkway
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

24.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

23.3%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Saied S. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
54', 3 - 0, Hill I. ⚽,
57', 4 - 0, Olumuyiwa A. ⚽,
78', 5 - 0, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
81', 6 - 0, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
90+1', 7 - 0, Diaz A. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poole won 2.

Poole is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Plymouth Parkway's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Poole may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Plymouth Parkway has had a series of away games.

In this match, Poole is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Poole won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Poole won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Plymouth Parkway: 8.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Poole	10	7	0	3	17:12	5	21
2	Plymouth Parkway	9	6	2	1	23:8	15	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
27.12.25	Wimborne Town - Poole Town	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Poole Town - Sholing	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Poole Town - Uxbridge	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Poole Town	0:3 ✺
02.12.25	Poole Town - Walton & Hersham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWT
- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
27.12.25	Plymouth Parkway - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
23.12.25	Farnham Town - Plymouth Parkway	4:0 ✺
20.12.25	Weymouth - Plymouth Parkway	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Chatham Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.11.25	Chertsey Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	2:1 penalties
English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	0:1
29.03.25	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	3:1
24.09.24	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:1
16.04.24	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:2
01.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	1:0
28.02.23	Poole Town - Plymouth Parkway	0:0

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