Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 16

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 2h 51m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Twerton Park (Bath) 🌤️ ...


	Bath City		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.20	3.00
	2.08	3.30	2.95
	2.06	3.34	3.17
	2.14	3.54	3.13	Watch
	2.01	3.25	3.10
	2.04	3.30	3.16
	2.08	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.13)	3.33 ↓ (3.43)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
43.4%

Draw
27%

Poole Town
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.4%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Bath City - Poole Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Semi - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bath won 4.

Bath is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Poole is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bath may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bath holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Bath has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:2 (averaging 1.8:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bath against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 1.7:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Poole	13	9	1	3	24:15	9	28
5	Bath	13	8	2	3	19:10	9	26

Last Results with these Odds

Bath City - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.42%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Bath City - Frome Town	1:0 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
20.10.26	Bath City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
17.10.26	Hanwell Town - Bath City	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Evesham United - Bath City	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Bath City - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
27.10.26	Poole Town - Chertsey Town	2:2 ✺
17.10.26	Chippenham Town - Poole Town	1:4 ✺
10.10.26	Poole Town - Bracknell Town	1:0 ✺
07.10.26	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Poole Town - Evesham United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
17.03.18	Poole Town - Bath City	0:4
26.08.17	Bath City - Poole Town	1:0
17.04.17	Bath City - Poole Town	3:0
29.08.16	Poole Town - Bath City	1:0
English FA Cup
30.09.14	Poole Town - Bath City	0:2
27.09.14	Bath City - Poole Town	1:1

Bath City - Poole Town