Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 19

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Portici		Sorrento

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.35	3.2	2
	3.34	3.19	2
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.42	3.26	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.43)	3.15 ↑ (3.15)	1.99 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portici
26.5%

Draw
28.5%

Sorrento
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

28.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

27.5%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portici has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portici than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Portici - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Portici is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sorrento is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sorrento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sorrento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Portici won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Portici won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portici 1906
Italian Serie D - Group G
11.01.23	Angri - Portici	Portici 1906 awarded ✺
08.01.23	Palmese 1914 - Portici	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
04.01.23	Portici - Lamezia Terme	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
21.12.22	Portici - Atletico Uri	4:0 ✺
11.12.22	Portici - Vis Artena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 ?TLWT
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie D - Group G
08.01.23	Sorrento - Real Monterotondo	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Romana - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Sorrento - Atletico Uri	4:1 ✺
04.12.22	Cassino - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Sorrento - Casertana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
11.09.22	Sorrento - Portici	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group H
01.05.21	Portici - Sorrento	3:2
10.01.21	Sorrento - Portici	0:3

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