The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sorrento 34.7%
Draw 30.9%
Casertana 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
29.4%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
28.5%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casertana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sorrento that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sorrento - Casertana Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Sorrento (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sorrento (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 32. Paglino S. 15. Solcia D. 6. Fusco F. 3. Crecco L. 23. Cangianiello S. 16. Franco D. 8. Cuccurullo M. 10. Bolsius D. 7. D'Ursi E. 29. Santini C.
1. De Lucia V. (G) 6. Heinz J. 33. Rocchi G. 13. Bacchetti L. 18. Oukhadda S. 8. Proia F. 25. Toscano M. 10. Leone K. 94. Liotti D. 91. Vano M. 90. Casarotto M.
Substitutes
46. Colombini L. 26. Di Somma V. 11. Esposito M. 22. Harrasser S. (G) 21. Matera A. 2. Piras M. 9. Plescia V. 4. Potenza A. 17. Riccardi P. 19. Russo D. 5. Shaw K. 18. Tonni M.
51. Arzillo V. 21. Di Tommaso L. 3. Falasca M. 11. Galletta U. 9. Kallon Y. 4. Kontek I. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 12. Merolla E. (G) 16. Pezzella S. 22. Vilardi A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', D'Ursi E. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Proia F. ⚽,
42', Crecco L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Santini C. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
56', Leone K. ↓, Pezzella S. ↑,
64', Franco D. ↓, Riccardi P. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Bolsius D. ⚽,
74', Vano M. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
74', Oukhadda S. ↓, Llano Massa M. T. ↑,
74', Bolsius D. ↓, Matera A. ↑,
79', Proia F. 🟨,
85', Paglino S. 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Llano Massa M. T. ⚽,
88', Crecco L. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
90+3', Casarotto M. ↓, Di Tommaso L. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Sorrento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:22. (average 0.8:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Italy
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Del Sorbo L. (G) 
Bolsius D. 
Oukhadda S. 
Shaw K. 
Kallon Y. 
Kontek I. 
Llano Massa M. T. 
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