Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Portici		Taranto

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Portici
16.4%

Draw
25.3%

Taranto
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.7%

25.9%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

21.7%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portici has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Taranto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portici than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taranto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Portici has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Taranto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portici could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Taranto is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portici 1906
Italian Serie D - Group H
06.03.21	Real Agro Aversa - Portici	4:0 ✺
28.02.21	Portici - Lavello	0:1 ✺
24.02.21	Casarano - Portici	4:0 ✺
21.02.21	Portici - Francavilla	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Altamura - Portici	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Taranto FC
Italian Serie D - Group H
10.03.21	Taranto - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
06.03.21	Sorrento - Taranto	0:3 ✺
28.02.21	Taranto - Puteolana	1:0 ✺
24.02.21	Bitonto - Taranto	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Taranto - Picerno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWLT

Portici - Taranto