Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Erasmo Iacovone (Taranto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 251


	Taranto		Picerno

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	1.78
	4.2	3.25	1.87
	4.52	3.11	1.89
	4.02	3.13	2.01	Watch
	4.33	3.1	1.8
	4.39	3.2	1.79	Watch
	4.2	3.25	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↓ (5.24)	3.16 ↓ (3.43)	1.86 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taranto
21.5%

Draw
29%

Picerno
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

26.5%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

25.9%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taranto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Picerno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Picerno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Taranto - Picerno Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Picerno will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Favero M. (G) 72. Mastromonaco G. 6. Shiba C. 4. de Santis I. 3. Contessa S. 20. Guarracino M. 21. Matera A. (C) 24. Speranza M. 7. Lores I. 10. Fabbro M. 11. Zigoni G.	1. Merelli D. (G) 2. Pagliai G. 15. Santi P. 4. Seck P. M. 14. Ragone V. 8. Franco D. 30. De Ciancio R. 37. Vitali P. 19. Petito F. 11. Esposito E. (C) 21. Volpicelli E.
Substitutes
99. Battimelli G. 12. Caputo G. (G) 8. Fiorani M. 80. Fiorentino G. 27. Garau O. 39. Iervolino A. 34. Locanto G. 5. Marong B. 44. Picardi M. 17. Sacco F. 18. Schirru G. 33. Vaughn C. 14. Verde F.	9. Bernardotto G. 99. Cardoni K. 17. Cecere S. 77. Graziani V. 25. Guerra W. 10. Maiorino P. 5. Pitarresi F. 16. Santarcangelo A. 22. Summa E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Esposito E. 🟨,
45+2', Mastromonaco G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Petito F. 🟨,
55', Contessa S. 🟨,
61', Esposito E. ↓, Maiorino P. ↑,
61', Vitali P. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,
76', Guarracino M. ↓, Sacco F. ↑,
76', Lores I. ↓, Fiorani M. ↑,
79', Petito F. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
80', Matera A. ↓, Schirru G. ↑,
86', Zigoni G. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
86', Speranza M. ↓, Verde F. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Battimelli G. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taranto won 0.

Taranto is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Picerno is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Picerno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Picerno is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Taranto won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:10 (average 0.9:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Taranto won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taranto FC
Italian Serie C Group C
04.10.24	Foggia - Taranto	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Taranto - Sorrento	2:2 ✺
24.09.24	Casertana - Taranto	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Taranto - Altamura	1:2 ✺
13.09.24	Taranto - Trapani	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLT
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.24	Picerno - Cavese	1:1 ✺
30.09.24	Picerno - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Juventus U23 - Picerno	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Picerno - Crotone	5:2 ✺
14.09.24	Catania - Picerno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.24	Taranto - Picerno	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
12.01.24	Taranto - Picerno	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Picerno - Taranto	2:1 penalties
Italian Serie C Group C
11.09.23	Picerno - Taranto	1:1
12.03.23	Taranto - Picerno	0:1
06.11.22	Picerno - Taranto	2:1
24.04.22	Picerno - Taranto	2:2

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