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Current Win Probability
Portimonense U23 43.4%
Draw 26.3%
Maritimo U23 30.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.2%
27.5%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
27.7%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Maritimo U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense U23 than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maritimo U23 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Portimonense U23 - Maritimo U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, ⚽,
30', 2 - 2, ⚽,
36', 3 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 20th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: ) and 18th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense U23 won 3.
Portimonense U23 has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Maritimo U23 has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Maritimo U23 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Portimonense U23 has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:27 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Portimonense U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:12 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).
Portugal
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