Match Info

MLS

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Providence Park (Portland, OR)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Portland Timbers		Colorado Rapids

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	5	Watch
	1.6	4.2	4.8
	1.65	4.33	5	Watch
	1.64	4.34	5.04
	1.59	4.41	5.09	Watch
	1.62	4	5
	1.66	4.23	5.16	Watch
	1.65	4.33	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	4.24 ↓ (4.31)	5.01 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Timbers
58.5%

Draw
22.5%

Colorado Rapids
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

22%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

22.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Colorado Rapids has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Portland Timbers - Colorado Rapids Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Portland (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Portland Timbers will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Portland Timbers will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Portland (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Crepeau M. (G) 11. Antony 4. Miller K. 20. Surman F. 29. Mosquera J. 27. Fory J. 30. Moreno S. 24. Ayala D. 80. Ortiz J. 10. Pereira da Costa D. 9. Mora F.	41. Defreitas-Hansen N. (G) 4. Cannon R. 5. Maxso A. 19. Murphy I. 99. Travis J. 8. Larraz O. 12. Atencio J. 21. Ku-DiPietro T. 10. Mihailovic D. 18. Bassett S. 77. Yapi D.
Substitutes
5. Bravo C. 21. Chara D. 22. Fernandez O. 19. Kelsy K. 7. Lassiter A. 15. Miller E. 25. Muse T. (G) 13. Zuparic D.	6. Awaziem C. 31. Beaudry A. (G) 91. Cabral K. 13. Frederick W. 16. Harris A. 14. Harris C. 9. Rafael Navarro 20. Ronan C. 3. Vines S.
Coaches
Neville P.	Armas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Surman F. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Mihailovic D. ⚽, Bassett S. (A),
42', Mora F. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Atencio J. ↓, Ronan C. ↑,
54', Mihailovic D. ↓, Frederick W. ↑,
56', Ortiz J. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Antony ⚽, Pereira da Costa D. (A), Mora F. (A2)
64', Mora F. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
65', Yapi D. ↓, Rafael Navarro ↑,
65', Ku-DiPietro T. ↓, Harris C. ↑,
67', Frederick W. 🟥,
76', 2 - 1, Kelsy K. ⚽, Mosquera J. (A),
79', Bassett S. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
83', Moreno S. 🟨,
86', Antony ↓, Lassiter A. ↑,
87', Moreno S. ↓, Chara D. ↑,
90+7', Cabral K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Portland is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Portland: McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Colorado: Awaziem C. (Inactive) Bassett C. (Ankle Injury) Fadal A. (Knee Injury) Rafael Navarro (Ankle Injury) Steffen Z. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Portland: Chara D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Timbers
MLS
24.05.25	Orlando City - Portland Timbers	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
20.05.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Portland Timbers	1:0 ET ✺
MLS
17.05.25	Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders	1:1 ✺
14.05.25	Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTTW
- Colorado Rapids
MLS
24.05.25	Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Colorado Rapids - Real Salt Lake	1:0 ✺
14.05.25	San Diego - Colorado Rapids	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Colorado Rapids - San Jose Earthquakes	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	DC United - Colorado Rapids	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.03.25	Colorado Rapids - Portland Timbers	0:3
14.09.24	Colorado Rapids - Portland Timbers	2:1
CONCACAF League Cup
01.08.24	Portland Timbers - Colorado Rapids	4:0
MLS
24.02.24	Portland Timbers - Colorado Rapids	4:1
23.09.23	Portland Timbers - Colorado Rapids	3:2
12.07.23	Colorado Rapids - Portland Timbers	0:0
25.06.22	Portland Timbers - Colorado Rapids	3:0

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