Match Info

MLS

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Providence Park (Portland, OR)

Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
India	Vision+
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Malaysia	Astro Go
South-korea	SPOTV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC


	Portland Timbers		Houston Dynamo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.1
	2.25	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.18	3.62	3.18	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.15	3.91	3.04	Watch
	2.25	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.19)	3.59 ↓ (3.66)	3.15 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portland Timbers
43.5%

Draw
26.4%

Houston Dynamo
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

26.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Portland Timbers - Houston Dynamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Pantemis J. (G) 11. Antony 20. Surman F. 29. Mosquera J. 4. Miller K. 27. Fory J. 10. Pereira da Costa D. 24. Ayala D. 21. Chara D. (C) 30. Moreno S. 9. Mora F.	26. Gillingham B. (G) 2. Escobar F. 24. Awodesu F. 5. Steres D. 25. Dorsey G. 20. Lodeiro N. 21. McGlynn J. 6. Artur (C) 8. Bassi A. 10. Ponce E. 27. Kowalczyk S.
Substitutes
5. Bravo C. 16. Crepeau M. (G) 19. Kelsy K. 7. Lassiter A. 18. McGraw Z. 80. Ortiz J. 17. Paredes C. 23. Smith I. 13. Zuparic D.	18. Aliyu I. 37. Batioja A. 16. Duenas E. 23. Halliday M. 30. Junior Urso 32. Pedro (G) 35. Raines B. 17. Segal G. 28. Sviatchenko E.
Coaches
Neville P.	Olsen B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Mora F. ⚽, Moreno S. (A),
11', Chara D. 🟨,
12', 1 - 1, Escobar F. ⚽, McGlynn J. (A),
23', 2 - 1, Antony ⚽, Mora F. (A),
31', Steres D. 🟨,
34', Mora F. 🟨,
43', Fory J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Steres D. ↓, Sviatchenko E. ↑,
55', Dorsey G. 🟨,
71', 3 - 1, Antony ⚽, Mora F. (A),
73', Fory J. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
73', Mora F. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
73', Lodeiro N. ↓, Junior Urso ↑,
80', Antony ↓, Lassiter A. ↑,
80', Ayala D. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
81', Bassi A. ↓, Batioja A. ↑,
86', McGlynn J. ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
88', Mosquera J. ↓, Bravo C. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portland won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Portland will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Portland: Araujo M. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Houston: Ennali L. (Knee Injury) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Portland won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:32 (average 1.5:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Portland won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21:14 (average 2.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portland Timbers
MLS
22.03.25	Colorado Rapids - Portland Timbers	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Portland Timbers - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Nashville SC - Portland Timbers	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Portland Timbers - Austin FC	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Portland Timbers - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLWL
- Houston Dynamo
MLS
22.03.25	Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo	0:0 ✺
Friendly
19.03.25	Houston Dynamo - Salvador	2:1 ✺
MLS
15.03.25	Houston Dynamo - Real Salt Lake	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Columbus Crew - Houston Dynamo	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Houston Dynamo - Inter Miami	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
01.06.24	Portland Timbers - Houston Dynamo	2:2
16.03.24	Houston Dynamo - Portland Timbers	1:0
21.10.23	Portland Timbers - Houston Dynamo	1:3
20.08.23	Houston Dynamo - Portland Timbers	5:0
29.06.22	Portland Timbers - Houston Dynamo	2:1
16.04.22	Houston Dynamo - Portland Timbers	0:0
03.09.21	Houston Dynamo - Portland Timbers	0:2

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