Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 18Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday
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Portmany |
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Constancia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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4.55 |
3.25 |
1.7 |
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14.47 |
5.72 |
1.19 |
Watch |
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4.6 |
3.1 |
1.75 |
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4.95 |
3.3 |
1.68 |
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4.5 |
3.33 |
1.72 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.61 ↑ (4.2) |
3.74 ↑ (3.45) |
1.61 ↓ (1.76) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portmany 14.5% | Draw 25.7% | Constancia 59.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portmany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portmany's form might have worsened.Constancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Constancia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portmany than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portmany, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Constancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Portmany - Constancia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portmany won 0.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, Constancia is the team to beat.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Portmany won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:24. (average 0.7:2).Including home matches between the teams, Portmany won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Constancia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 | | | 06.09.25 | Constancia - Portmany | 4:0 | | 01.02.25 | Constancia - Portmany | 5:0 | | 22.09.24 | Portmany - Constancia | 1:1 | | 03.12.23 | Constancia - Portmany | 2:1 | | 25.03.23 | Constancia - Portmany | 2:0 | | 27.11.22 | Portmany - Constancia | 1:2 | | 09.04.22 | Portmany - Constancia | 0:1 |
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