Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Constancia		Llosetense

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4.05
	1.8	3.2	4.38
	1.81	3.27	4.35
	1.8	3.1	4.4
	1.78	3.24	4.34
	1.76	3.33	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.79)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	4.31 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constancia
50.8%

Draw
28.1%

Llosetense
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.9%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

26.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Constancia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Llosetense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Constancia - Llosetense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Giaquinto A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+8', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Constancia is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Constancia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constancia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
13.12.25	Collerense - Constancia	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Constancia - Cardassar	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Santanyí - Constancia	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Constancia - Manacor	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Constancia - Mercadal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTWLL
- CD Llosetense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
14.12.25	Cardassar - Llosetense	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Llosetense - Manacor	1:4 ✺
23.11.25	Mercadal - Llosetense	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Llosetense - Binissalem	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Felanitx - Llosetense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.02.25	Llosetense - Constancia	0:1
13.10.24	Constancia - Llosetense	3:0
04.02.24	Llosetense - Constancia	0:2
16.09.23	Constancia - Llosetense	0:1
26.02.23	Constancia - Llosetense	2:3
23.10.22	Llosetense - Constancia	1:1
06.01.22	Constancia - Llosetense	2:1

Constancia - Llosetense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide