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Current Win Probability
Portmore United 28.9%
Draw 31.9%
Montego Bay United 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.9%
27.5%
46.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
26.3%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portmore United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Montego Bay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montego Bay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portmore United than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montego Bay United than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montego Bay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portmore United - Montego Bay United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 🟥,
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portmore won 1.
Recent performances by Portmore have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Montego Bay United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portmore won 7 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.2:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Portmore won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.2:0.6).