Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Waterhouse Mini Stadium (Kingston)


	Waterhouse		Montego Bay United

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.15
	3.3	2.88	2.18
	3.49	2.99	2.23
	3.51	2.92	2.26	Watch
	3.3	2.75	2.15
	3.25	3.14	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.16)	2.93 ↓ (3.03)	2.21 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterhouse
27.4%

Draw
31.2%

Montego Bay United
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30.6%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

30.5%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterhouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Montego Bay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montego Bay United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Waterhouse - Montego Bay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,
74', 0 - 3, ⚽,
83', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 2.

Waterhouse has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Montego Bay United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Montego Bay United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Montego Bay United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Waterhouse won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Montego Bay	4	3	1	0	4:0	4	10
2	Waterhouse	3	3	0	0	13:0	13	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
09.03.26	Waterhouse - Montego Bay United	1:0 ✺
05.03.26	Portmore United - Waterhouse	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Waterhouse - Spanish Town Police	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Dunbeholden - Waterhouse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWTW
- Montego Bay United
Jamaica National Premier League
09.03.26	Waterhouse - Montego Bay United	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Montego Bay United - Arnett Gardens	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Harbour View - Montego Bay United	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Montego Bay United - Cavalier	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Racing United - Montego Bay United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
09.03.26	Waterhouse - Montego Bay United	1:0
21.12.25	Montego Bay United - Waterhouse	0:1
03.04.25	Waterhouse - Montego Bay United	1:1
29.01.25	Montego Bay United - Waterhouse	3:1
28.11.24	Waterhouse - Montego Bay United	1:1
22.01.24	Montego Bay United - Waterhouse	2:2
30.10.23	Waterhouse - Montego Bay United	3:0

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