Match Info

Premier League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ferdi Neita Sports Complex (Portmore)


	Portmore United		Racing United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.2	4.15	Watch
	1.78	3.35	4.66
	1.79	3.28	4.84	Watch
	1.75	3	4.33
	1.84	3.36	4.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.94)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	4.48 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portmore United
51.2%

Draw
28.3%

Racing United
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portmore United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Racing United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portmore United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Portmore United - Racing United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Ximines T. ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, Small R. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 3-3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portmore won 1.

Portmore has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Racing United is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Portmore may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Portmore is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portmore won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Portmore won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Racing United	4	3	0	1	10:3	7	9
7	Portmore	2	1	1	0	5:2	3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portmore United
Jamaica National Premier League
10.05.26	Racing United - Portmore United	3:3 ✺
06.05.26	Portmore United - Tivoli Gardens	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Racing United - Portmore United	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Portmore United - Arnett Gardens	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Spanish Town Police - Portmore United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWTLW
- Racing United
Jamaica National Premier League
10.05.26	Racing United - Portmore United	3:3 ✺
03.05.26	Racing United - Portmore United	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Cavalier - Racing United	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Racing United - Molynes United	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Montego Bay United - Racing United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
10.05.26	Racing United - Portmore United	3:3
03.05.26	Racing United - Portmore United	1:1
25.01.26	Racing United - Portmore United	1:1
05.10.25	Portmore United - Racing United	0:0
04.05.25	Portmore United - Racing United	2:0
16.02.25	Racing United - Portmore United	1:1
08.12.24	Portmore United - Racing United	1:1

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