Match Info

Premier League - Round 39

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ferdi Neita Sports Complex (Portmore)


	Portmore United		Tivoli Gardens

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.95
	1.63	3.4	4.74
	1.69	3.46	5.27	Watch
	1.61	3.42	5.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	3.45 ↓ (3.88)	5.08 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portmore United
55.7%

Draw
26.4%

Tivoli Gardens
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.4%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portmore United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portmore United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Portmore United - Tivoli Gardens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Watson O. ⚽,
27', Bell M. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 2 - 0, Reid M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 3 - 0, Campbell D. ⚽,

Preview

Portmore is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portmore won 1.

Recent performances by Portmore have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tivoli Gardens's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tivoli Gardens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Portmore has had a series of away games.

In this match, Portmore is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portmore won 6 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Portmore won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tivoli	4	2	2	0	7:2	5	8
7	Portmore	2	1	1	0	5:2	3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portmore United
Jamaica National Premier League
03.05.26	Racing United - Portmore United	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Portmore United - Arnett Gardens	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Spanish Town Police - Portmore United	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Chapelton Maroons - Portmore United	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Cavalier - Portmore United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWWT
- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
03.05.26	Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens	4:2 ✺
22.04.26	Montego Bay United - Tivoli Gardens	5:1 ✺
19.04.26	Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
05.01.26	Tivoli Gardens - Portmore United	2:2
31.08.25	Portmore United - Tivoli Gardens	0:0
09.03.25	Portmore United - Tivoli Gardens	1:1
06.01.25	Tivoli Gardens - Portmore United	1:1
30.09.24	Portmore United - Tivoli Gardens	2:1
25.02.24	Tivoli Gardens - Portmore United	0:0
27.11.23	Portmore United - Tivoli Gardens	0:0

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