The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Porto B 25%
Draw 27.9%
Vizela 47.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
28.4%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
27.3%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
16.7%
83.3%
Porto B - Vizela Predictions
Users Predictions:
Vizela will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Afonso J. (G) 76. Dinis 94. Chelmik 93. Ferreira T. (C) 84. Cunha M. 92. Teixeira J. 66. Lima B. 57. Cunha D. 89. Mide M. 56. Kaue 53. Ferreira E.
1. Gomis A. (G) 77. Jojo 13. Rocha L. 4. Rhyner J. (C) 20. Godwin O. 16. Pires M. 6. Bamba G. 17. Tavares M. 8. Bastunov A. 36. Lacava M. 99. Carter A.
Substitutes
80. Balbinot E. 97. Gabriel Veron 64. Gomes L. 70. Granaas E. 43. Melnichenko T. 82. Oliveira G. 55. Pereira Y. 54. Ribeiro A. 91. Ribeiro G. (G) 41. Silva G. (G) 58. Silva T. 47. Varela C.
70. Canozales C. 23. Fortune Y. 55. Hristov A. 24. Morschel H. 31. Neto 37. Sampaio J. 92. Souza P. (G) 11. Thio 26. Tobar L. 95. Traore A. 19. Vulic A. (G)
Coaches
Brandao J.
Molina R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Pires M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Ferreira E. ⚽, Mide M. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Rhyner J. ⚽, Tavares M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Bastunov A. ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, Cunha D. ⚽,
61', Pires M. ↓, Morschel H. ↑,
61', Bastunov A. ↓, Neto ↑,
61', Cunha D. ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
62', Teixeira J. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
65', Rhyner J. 🟨,
67', Dinis 🟨,
69', Carter A. ↓, Fortune Y. ↑,
69', Tavares M. ↓, Thio ↑,
70', Dinis ↓, Balbinot E. ↑,
70', Ferreira E. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
80', Balbinot E. ↓, Gomes L. ↑,
83', Godwin O. 🟨,
86', Ferreira T. 🟨,
86', Neto 🟨,
90+2', Gomes L. 🟨,
90+2', Morschel H. 🟨,
90+3', Lima B. 🟨,
90+6', Kaue 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 1.
Porto B is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vizela is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Vizela is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Porto B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Vizela
6
3
2
1
7:4
3
11
17
FC Porto B
6
1
1
4
4:13
-9
4
Last Results with these Odds
Porto B - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 25.81%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.