Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes (Vila Nova de Gaia)

Referee: Neves G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Porto Canal
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Porto B		Penafiel

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.10	2.40
	2.55	3.10	2.45
	2.60	3.00	2.50
	2.91	3.30	2.56
	2.61	3.36	2.61	Watch
	2.80	3.25	2.50
	2.75	3.25	2.51
	2.70	3.15	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.5)	3.19 ↑ (2.75)	2.5 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
34.2%

Draw
28.9%

Penafiel
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

32.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penafiel's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Porto B - Penafiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Penafiel (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Penafiel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Afonso J. (G) 76. Dinis 93. Ferreira T. (C) 54. Ribeiro A. 84. Cunha M. 58. Silva T. 66. Lima B. 57. Cunha D. 89. Mide M. 47. Varela C. 43. Melnichenko T.	1. Oliveira Miguel (C) 5. Sanchez J. 6. Pica A. 3. Moreira C. 27. Negrao G. 8. Carbonell A. 21. Pedro Sa 75. Alloh T. 17. Pinto J. 9. Svensson M. 10. Davo
Substitutes
94. Chelmik 53. Ferreira E. 64. Gomes L. 70. Granaas E. 62. Guerra G. 56. Kaue 61. Muxito D. 46. Niang M. 55. Pereira Y. 91. Ribeiro G. (G) 41. Silva G. (G) 92. Teixeira J.	85. Augusto C. 7. Douglas Borel 11. Fuentes J. 2. lano Imbene 4. Miguel J. 18. Nifanso K. 29. Nuninho 38. Oliveira M. 28. Ribeiro T. (G) 12. Rojas A. (G) 33. Schutte R. 50. Varela F.
Coaches
Brandao J.	Aira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Svensson M. ⚽, Negrao G. (A),
17', Dinis 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Pinto J. ⚽, Davo (A),
42', Davo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Varela C. ↓, Ferreira E. ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Negrao G. ⚽,
55', Davo ↓, Schutte R. ↑,
55', Cunha D. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
55', Mide M. ↓, Muxito D. ↑,
55', Silva T. ↓, Kaue ↑,
60', Pedro Sa 🟨,
62', Melnichenko T. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
66', Sanchez J. 🟨,
68', Cunha M. 🟨,
69', Granaas E. 🟨,
77', Pedro Sa ↓, Douglas Borel ↑,
77', Pinto J. ↓, Varela F. ↑,
88', Sanchez J. ↓, Miguel J. ↑,
88', Svensson M. ↓, Nifanso K. ↑,
89', Niang M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 3.

Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Porto B won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Penafiel	6	4	1	1	13:5	8	13
17	FC Porto B	6	1	1	4	4:13	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Porto B - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.01%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Penafiel - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.26%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
24.08.26	Feirense - Porto B	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Porto B - Farense	1:3 ✺
10.08.26	Lusitânia - Porto B	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Porto B - Benfica B	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Porto B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WLLWW
- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
23.08.26	Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Torreense - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Penafiel - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Penafiel - Leganés	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.05.26	Paços de Ferreira - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
26.04.26	Penafiel - Porto B	3:0
12.12.25	Porto B - Penafiel	1:0
16.02.25	Porto B - Penafiel	3:2
15.09.24	Penafiel - Porto B	1:1
30.03.24	Porto B - Penafiel	3:1
11.11.23	Penafiel - Porto B	3:2
03.04.23	Penafiel - Porto B	1:2

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