Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 33

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Porto DAscoli		Tolentino

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.75	3.1	4.05
	1.85	3.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.79)	3.15 ↓ (3.29)	4.21 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto DAscoli
50.2%

Draw
28.5%

Tolentino
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

26.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto DAscoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Tolentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto DAscoli than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Porto DAscoli - Tolentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Porto D'Ascoli is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tolentino is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Porto D'Ascoli is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Porto D'Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto D'Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Porto DAscoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.04.23	Pineto - Porto DAscoli	2:2 ✺
16.04.23	Porto DAscoli - Nuova Florida	1:1 ✺
06.04.23	Notaresco - Porto DAscoli	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Porto DAscoli - Chieti	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Cynthialbalonga - Porto DAscoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLTL
- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.04.23	Tolentino - Trastevere	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Avezzano - Tolentino	3:0 ✺
06.04.23	Pineto - Tolentino	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Tolentino - Nuova Florida	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Notaresco - Tolentino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
18.12.22	Tolentino - Porto DAscoli	0:1
13.03.22	Tolentino - Porto DAscoli	2:1
31.10.21	Porto DAscoli - Tolentino	1:0

Porto DAscoli - Tolentino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide