Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 21

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Portosantense		Limianos

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.95	2.1
	3.25	2.94	2.11
	3.45	2.95	2.26
	3.35	2.99	2.16
	3.4	3.15	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.58)	3 ↓ (3.3)	2.14 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portosantense
27.2%

Draw
30.3%

Limianos
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.5%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.8%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portosantense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Limianos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portosantense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limianos than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Limianos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Portosantense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Limianos is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Limianos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Limianos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Portosantense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Portosantense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.02.24	Tirsense - Portosantense	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Portosantense - Montalegre	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Portosantense - Brito	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Pevidem - Portosantense	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Portosantense - Marítimo B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLLW
- AD Limianos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
18.02.24	Limianos - Marítimo B	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Camacha - Limianos	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Limianos - Vilar de Perdizes	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Mirandela - Limianos	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Limianos - Dumiense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
19.11.23	Limianos - Portosantense	1:0

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