Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: National Stadium (Freetown)


	Ports Authority		Freetown City

	1	X	2
	1.03	10.26	15.00	Watch
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.42	3.72	7.95
	1.45	3.6	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)	5.3 ↑ (3.6)	9.11 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ports Authority
71.3%

Draw
18.2%

Freetown City
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

24.4%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ports Authority has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ports Authority's performance.

Freetown City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ports Authority than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ports Authority that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freetown City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Ports Authority has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Freetown City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ports Authority is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ports Authority won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Ports Authority won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sierra Leone Ports Authority FC
Sierra Leone Premier League
11.07.25	SLIFA Mount Aureol - Ports Authority	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Ports Authority - Bai Bureh Warriors	4:1 ✺
29.06.25	Wusum Stars - Ports Authority	4:2 ✺
24.06.25	Ports Authority - Bullom Stars	0:0 ✺
11.06.25	Ports Authority - Abacha City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLTL
- Freetown City FC
Sierra Leone Premier League
12.07.25	Mighty Blackpool - Freetown City	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Freetown City - SLIFA Mount Aureol	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Bai Bureh Warriors - Freetown City	1:0 ✺
23.06.25	Freetown City - Wusum Stars	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Freetown City - Kamboi Eagles	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Sierra Leone Premier League
28.03.25	Freetown City - Ports Authority	0:2
18.02.24	Ports Authority - Freetown City	0:0

Ports Authority - Freetown City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide