Match Info

UEFA Nations League Women - League A - Round 3

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio da Mata Real (Pacos de Ferreira)

Referee: Demetrescu I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	RTP 1, RTP
Spain	RTVE Play, Teledeporte, TVE La 1, TVE La 2


	Portugal W		Spain W

	1	X	2
	13	7	1.14
	19	6.5	1.16	Watch
	17.09	6.91	1.16	Watch
	19	7.9	1.13
	19	6.5	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	17.42 ↑ (6.51)	6.96 ↑ (4.5)	1.15 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal W
5.4%

Draw
13.4%

Spain W
81.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

20.9%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portugal W's form might have worsened.

Spain W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spain W's recent form is better than expected.

Portugal W - Spain W Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Teixeira Pereira I. (G) Dep. La Coruna 9. Borges A. (C) Sporting 15. Costa C. SL Benfica 19. Gomes D. Sevilla 2. Amado C. SL Benfica 11. Pinto T. Atl. Madrid 6. Jacinto A. Real Sociedad 5. Marchao J. Servette 8. Norton A. SL Benfica 21. Capeta A. Sporting 16. Silva D. Sporting	13. Coll C. (G) Barcelona 2. Fernandez J. Barcelona 5. Mendez M. Real Madrid 14. Aleixandri L. Manchester City 15. Ouahabi L. Manchester City 6. Bonmati A. Barcelona 12. Guijarro P. Barcelona 11. Putellas A. (C) Barcelona 8. Caldentey M. Arsenal 18. Paralluelo S. Barcelona 20. Pina C. Barcelona
Substitutes
3. Bea Sporting 22. Costa R. (G) SL Benfica 13. Dias A. Tigres UANL 23. Encarnacao T. Sporting 17. Faria A. SL Benfica 7. Martins J. Sporting 18. Mendes C. Racing Power 12. Morais P. (G) Braga 10. Ribeiro S. UNAM Pumas 20. Rute A. Braga 4. Seica A. Tigres UANL 14. Silva D. Braga	23. Astralaga E. (G) Eibar 7. Carmona O. Real Madrid 10. del Castillo A. Real Madrid 21. Garcia S. Real Madrid 9. Gonzalez Rodriguez E. Gotham FC 19. Lopez V. Barcelona 17. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. SL Benfica 1. Nanclares A. (G) Athletic Bilbao 4. Paredes I. Barcelona 22. Portales Nieto M. Badalona 3. Pujadas B. Badalona 16. Zubieta M. Athletic Bilbao
Coaches
Neto F.	Montserrat T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
25', 0 - 1, Guijarro P. ⚽, Bonmati A. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Amado C. ⚽, Silva D. (A),
40', 1 - 2, Putellas A. ⚽, Pina C. (A),
43', 1 - 3, Pina C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 3, Costa C. (Pen),
59', Jacinto A. 🟨,
62', Gomes D. 🟨,
65', Paralluelo S. 🟨,
69', Norton A. ↓, Faria A. ↑,
69', Jacinto A. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
70', Caldentey M. ↓, Gonzalez Rodriguez E. ↑,
70', Bonmati A. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
75', Guijarro P. 🟨,
81', Capeta A. ↓, Dias A. ↑,
84', Pina C. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
87', Silva D. ↓, Encarnacao T. ↑,
87', Marchao J. ↓, Seica A. ↑,
89', 2 - 4, Gonzalez Rodriguez E. ⚽, del Castillo A. (A),
90+3', Paralluelo S. ↓, Zubieta M. ↑,

Preview

In this match Spain is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Portugal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:8 (average 0.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal W
UEFA Nations League Women
26.02.25	Belgium W - Portugal W	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Portugal W - England W	1:1 ✺
UEFA Euro Women
03.12.24	Czech Republic W - Portugal W	1:2 ✺
29.11.24	Portugal W - Czech Republic W	1:1 ✺
29.10.24	Portugal W - Azerbaijan W	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WTWTW
- Spain W
UEFA Nations League Women
26.02.25	England W - Spain W	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Spain W - Belgium W	3:2 ✺
Friendly International Women
03.12.24	France W - Spain W	2:4 ✺
29.11.24	Spain W - South Korea W	5:0 ✺
29.10.24	Italy W - Spain W	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro Women
19.07.17	Spain W - Portugal W	2:0
08.04.16	Portugal W - Spain W	1:4
01.12.15	Spain W - Portugal W	2:0

Portugal W - Spain W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide