Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 6

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ulrico Mursa (Santos)


	Portuguesa Santista		Rio Claro

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.05	4.35
	1.9	2.97	4.12
	1.87	3.1	4.26
	1.95	2.9	3.8
	1.97	3.21	4.03
	1.86	2.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.73)	3.02 ↓ (3.26)	4.09 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
47.9%

Draw
30%

Rio Claro
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.8%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

27%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Rio Claro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa Santista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Portuguesa Santista - Rio Claro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Portuguesa Santista (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Portuguesa Santista (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Yohan ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Barbosa T. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, JP ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa Santista won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Portuguesa Santista is a strong favorite.

We predict that Portuguesa Santista will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa Santista won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa Santista won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
07.02.26	Desportivo Brasil - Portuguesa Santista	0:4 ✺
04.02.26	Paulista - Portuguesa Santista	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Branco de Americana	3:0 ✺
29.01.26	Portuguesa Santista - União Suzano	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bandeirante - Portuguesa Santista	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW
- Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
07.02.26	Catanduva - Rio Claro	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Rio Claro - Rio Branco de Americana	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	União São João - Rio Claro	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Rio Claro - Paulista	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	União Barbarense - Rio Claro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.02.25	Rio Claro - Portuguesa Santista	1:1
06.03.24	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Claro	2:0
18.01.23	Rio Claro - Portuguesa Santista	0:1
26.01.22	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Claro	0:0
10.03.21	Rio Claro - Portuguesa Santista	0:0
02.02.20	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Claro	2:1

Portuguesa Santista - Rio Claro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide