Match Info

Date: 26 April 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Portuguesa Santista		Sertãozinho

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6.25
	1.53	3.35	6
	1.59	3.45	5.4
	1.6	3.64	6.66
	1.5	3.4	6.5
	1.52	3.74	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.72)	3.51 ↑ (3.21)	6.16 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
59.2%

Draw
26%

Sertãozinho
14.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.9%

28.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

19.9%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa Santista's performance.

Sertãozinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa Santista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Portuguesa Santista - Sertãozinho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Portuguesa Santista is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sertãozinho is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Portuguesa Santista is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
24.04.21	EC São Bernardo - Portuguesa Santista	1:2 ✺
22.04.21	Portuguesa Santista - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
20.04.21	Lemense FC - Portuguesa Santista	2:0 ✺
14.03.21	Portuguesa Santista - CA Juventus	0:2 ✺
10.03.21	Rio Claro - Portuguesa Santista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLLT
- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
24.04.21	Lemense FC - Sertãozinho	2:0 ✺
22.04.21	Sertãozinho - Rio Claro	0:1 ✺
20.04.21	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
14.03.21	Água Santa - Sertãozinho	1:0 ✺
10.03.21	Sertãozinho - Velo Clube	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLT

Portuguesa Santista - Sertãozinho

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista - Sertãozinho Predictions

Preview

Form

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