Match Info
Copa Paulista - Round 9Date: 10 August 2025, SundayLocation: Estadio Ulrico Mursa (Santos)
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Portuguesa Santista |
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Taubaté |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.25 |
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 |
2.2 |
2.82 |
3.25 |
 Watch |
 |
2.22 |
2.96 |
3.32 |
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1.40 |
4.06 |
7.90 |
Watch |
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2.23 |
2.89 |
3.29 |
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2.23 |
2.82 |
3.15 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.23) |
3.06 ↑
(2.82) |
4.03 ↑
(3.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portuguesa Santista
45.3% | Draw
31.1% | Taubaté
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa Santista's performance.Taubaté has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (+3.7%)Portuguesa Santista - Taubaté Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Carlos Alberto (Pen),
- 38', 2 - 0, Eliandro ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 78', 2 - 1, Lima V. ⚽,
- 90+12', 🟥,
- 90+13', 🟥,
- 90+13', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa Santista won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Portuguesa Santista may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Portuguesa Santista might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa Santista won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa Santista won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Portuguesa Santista - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Copa Paulista | | | 04.07.25 | Taubaté - Portuguesa Santista | 1:1 | | Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 | | | 15.01.25 | Taubaté - Portuguesa Santista | 1:2 | | 21.01.24 | Portuguesa Santista - Taubaté | 0:0 | | 08.02.23 | Taubaté - Portuguesa Santista | 2:1 | | 23.02.22 | Portuguesa Santista - Taubaté | 1:0 | | 06.03.21 | Taubaté - Portuguesa Santista | 1:2 | | 01.03.20 | Portuguesa Santista - Taubaté | 0:1 |
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