Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 6

Date: 1 February 2023, Wednesday


	Portuguesa Santista		Velo Clube

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.3	4.75
	1.73	3.2	4.5
	1.86	3	3.85
	1.61	3.52	5.54
	1.65	3.25	5
	1.68	3.54	5.05	Watch
	1.72	3.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.92)	3.3 ↑ (3.08)	4.76 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
53.3%

Draw
27.6%

Velo Clube
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

29.3%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

29%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portuguesa Santista's performance.

Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portuguesa Santista that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Portuguesa Santista - Velo Clube Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Portuguesa Santista is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Velo Clube is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Velo Clube could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Portuguesa Santista is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Portuguesa Santista won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa Santista won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.01.23	Linense - Portuguesa Santista	0:0 ✺
25.01.23	Comercial SP - Portuguesa Santista	2:1 ✺
22.01.23	Portuguesa Santista - São Caetano	3:0 ✺
18.01.23	Rio Claro - Portuguesa Santista	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Portuguesa Santista - Grêmio Novorizontino	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLWWW
- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.01.23	Atlético Monte Azul - Velo Clube	0:1 ✺
25.01.23	Velo Clube - Linense	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Velo Clube - EC Noroeste	3:2 ✺
18.01.23	EC Lemense - Velo Clube	3:1 ✺
14.01.23	Velo Clube - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
06.02.22	Velo Clube - Portuguesa Santista	2:1
30.04.21	Portuguesa Santista - Velo Clube	1:1

Portuguesa Santista - Velo Clube: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide