Match Info

Date: 8 November 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Potiguar		Vitória da Conquista

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.85	2.8
	2.4	2.9	2.8
	2.31	3	2.75
	2.21	3.15	3.34
	2.25	3.25	2.8
	2.3	3.65	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.4)	3.13 ↓ (3.62)	2.86 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potiguar
39.1%

Draw
29%

Vitória da Conquista
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

19.4%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potiguar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Vitória da Conquista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potiguar than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Potiguar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória da Conquista than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória da Conquista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Potiguar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vitória da Conquista have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Potiguar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACD Potiguar
Brazilian Serie D
01.11.20	ABC - Potiguar	3:1 ✺
25.10.20	Jacyobá - Potiguar	3:7 ✺
22.10.20	Potiguar - Itabaiana	2:2 ✺
18.10.20	Itabaiana - Potiguar	4:1 ✺
11.10.20	Potiguar - ABC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTLT
- Vitória da Conquista
Brazilian Serie D
26.10.20	Itabaiana - Vitória da Conquista	3:2 ✺
17.10.20	Jacyobá - Vitória da Conquista	2:3 ✺
11.10.20	Central SC - Vitória da Conquista	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Vitória da Conquista - Potiguar	2:4 ✺
27.09.20	Frei Paulistano - Vitória da Conquista	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.10.20	Vitória da Conquista - Potiguar	2:4

Potiguar - Vitória da Conquista

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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