The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Potiguar 39.1%
Draw 29%
Vitória da Conquista 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
25.4%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
17.9%
51.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Potiguar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Vitória da Conquista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potiguar than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Potiguar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória da Conquista than the current prediction. (+19.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória da Conquista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Potiguar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Vitória da Conquista have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Potiguar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.