The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pozuelo de Alarcón 38.6%
Draw 28.1%
Torrejón 33.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.1%
29%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
27.8%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pozuelo de Alarcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Torrejón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Pozuelo de Alarcón - Torrejón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Gamarra V. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 2.
Pozuelo de Alarcón is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Torrejón have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Torrejón may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Pozuelo de Alarcón has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:11 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pozuelo de Alarcón against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 6:9 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Pozuelo de Alarcon
8
4
3
1
13:13
0
15
Last Results with these Odds
Torrejón - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 36.97%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.