The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pozuelo de Alarcón 48.3%
Draw 29.2%
Tres Cantos 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.8%
25.6%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.2%
25.3%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pozuelo de Alarcón's form might have worsened.
Tres Cantos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pozuelo de Alarcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Cantero Sanchez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Clinton ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Alvarez R. ⚽,
88', 🟥,
90+1', 3 - 1, Dominguez O. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In recent matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tres Cantos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Pozuelo de Alarcón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Watch
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