Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Parla		Tres Cantos

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.5
	2.01	3.03	3.79
	2.02	3.08	3.76	Watch
	2	2.9	3.5
	2.09	3.24	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.09)	3.05 ↓ (3.18)	3.62 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parla
45%

Draw
29.9%

Tres Cantos
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.6%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

29.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Tres Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parla than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Parla - Tres Cantos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
19', 0 - 1, Nieves E. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Nieves E. ⚽,
44', 0 - 4, ⚽,
45', 1 - 4, Alvarez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parla won 1.

Recent form of Parla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tres Cantos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tres Cantos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Parla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Parla won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Parla won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Tres Cantos - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.91%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Parla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.04.26	Carabanchel - Parla	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Parla - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Parla	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Parla - Racing Madrid	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Las Rozas - Parla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTWLL
- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.04.26	Tres Cantos - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	México - Tres Cantos	0:5 ✺
22.03.26	Galapagar - Tres Cantos	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Tres Cantos - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Tres Cantos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.12.25	Tres Cantos - Parla	3:1
04.05.25	Parla - Tres Cantos	1:0
21.12.24	Tres Cantos - Parla	3:1
29.03.24	Tres Cantos - Parla	5:2
12.11.23	Parla - Tres Cantos	0:2
30.01.22	Parla - Tres Cantos	1:0
26.09.21	Tres Cantos - Parla	0:0

Parla - Tres Cantos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide