Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 26

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	Pozuelo de Alarcón		Ursaria

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	1.8
	3.75	3	1.83
	4	3.15	1.84
	4.2	3.38	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.98)	3.18 ↑ (3.17)	1.82 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pozuelo de Alarcón
22.5%

Draw
28.2%

Ursaria
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

27.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pozuelo de Alarcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Pozuelo de Alarcón - Ursaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Pozuelo de Alarcón is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ursaria is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ursaria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ursaria is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pozuelo de Alarcón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pozuelo de Alarcón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.03.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Pozuelo de Alarcón	4:3 ✺
12.03.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Torrejón	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Collado Villalba	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Canillas - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLTL
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.03.23	Ursaria - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	CDE Madrid - Ursaria	0:3 ✺
05.03.23	Ursaria - Real Aranjuez	5:1 ✺
26.02.23	Trival Valderas - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Ursaria - Rayo Vallecano B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.11.22	Ursaria - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:0
14.04.22	Ursaria - Pozuelo de Alarcón	3:0
12.12.21	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Ursaria	1:1

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