Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 6

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Praiense		Serpa

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	3.9
	1.85	3.2	3.55
	1.8	3.35	3.9
	1.87	3.47	3.91
	1.86	3.4	3.74
	1.86	3.35	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.2)	3.35 ↑ (3.12)	3.82 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Praiense
49.3%

Draw
27%

Serpa
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Praiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Praiense's performance.

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Praiense than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Praiense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 6 and 4).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Praiense will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Praiense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.10.22	Praiense - Juventude de Évora	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Esperança de Lagos - Praiense	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Fontinhas - Praiense	5:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
25.09.22	Praiense - Imortal	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Ferreiras - Praiense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLTW
- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.10.22	Oriental Dragon - Serpa	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Serpa - Gil Vicente	0:3 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.10.22	Serpa - Olhanense	2:1 ✺
25.09.22	Fabril do Barreiro - Serpa	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Serpa - Rabo de Peixe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWLT

Praiense - Serpa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide