Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 19

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Fabril do Barreiro		Serpa

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.05
	4.09	3.07	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.07)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)	2 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabril do Barreiro
24%

Draw
30.5%

Serpa
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

31.3%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

31.3%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabril do Barreiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabril do Barreiro's form might have worsened.

Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serpa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabril do Barreiro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabril do Barreiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serpa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fabril do Barreiro - Serpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 23. Pavlyuchenkova is ranked WTA: 25.

Samsonova is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pavlyuchenkova is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Samsonova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Pavlyuchenkova to win the game is with odds 1.81.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Samsonova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabril do Barreiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.02.25	Moura - Fabril do Barreiro	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Amora	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Lagoa - Fabril do Barreiro	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Estrela da Amadora B	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Sintrense - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLTL
- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.02.25	Serpa - Operário	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Lusitano GC - Serpa	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Serpa - Barreirense	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Serpa - Moura	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Amora - Serpa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.10.24	Serpa - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0
21.01.24	Serpa - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0
03.09.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Serpa	3:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Serpa - Fabril do Barreiro	2:0
25.09.22	Fabril do Barreiro - Serpa	2:1

Fabril do Barreiro - Serpa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide