Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 7

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Bastion Road (Prestatyn)


	Prestatyn Town		Llay Welfare

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.2	1.72
	3.4	4.15	1.75
	3.61	4.49	1.77	Watch
	3.66	4.1	1.73
	3.6	4.2	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.45)	4.23 ↑ (4.2)	1.74 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prestatyn Town
25.6%

Draw
21.7%

Llay Welfare
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

21.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

20.6%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prestatyn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Prestatyn Town's form might have worsened.

Llay Welfare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llay Welfare's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prestatyn Town than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Prestatyn Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llay Welfare than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llay Welfare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Prestatyn Town - Llay Welfare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Weir T. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Buckley O. ⚽,
10', 3 - 0, Hayes D. ⚽,
15', 4 - 0, Buckley O. ⚽,
24', 4 - 1, Kamilo B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 5 - 1, Joyce T. ⚽,
66', 5 - 2, Swords S. ⚽,
81', 6 - 2, Knight R. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Prestatyn Town
Welsh Cymru North
26.08.24	Mold Alexandra - Prestatyn Town	7:0 ✺
23.08.24	Prestatyn Town - Guilsfield	1:3 ✺
16.08.24	Ruthin Town - Prestatyn Town	7:0 ✺
09.08.24	Prestatyn Town - Bangor 1876	4:1 ✺
27.07.24	Holywell Town - Prestatyn Town	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWL
- Llay Welfare
Welsh Cymru North
26.08.24	Bangor 1876 - Llay Welfare	3:0 ✺
23.08.24	Llay Welfare - Holywell Town	2:5 ✺
17.08.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Llay Welfare	1:0 ✺
09.08.24	Colwyn Bay - Llay Welfare	1:1 ✺
06.08.24	Llay Welfare - Ruthin Town	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTL

Prestatyn Town - Llay Welfare: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide