Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday


	Llay Welfare		Holywell Town

	1	X	2
	6.32	5.3	1.31
	6.73	5.18	1.34	Watch
	7.32	5.1	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.79 ↑ (6.73)	5.19 ↑ (4.5)	1.32 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llay Welfare
13.4%

Draw
17.5%

Holywell Town
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

20.2%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

19.9%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llay Welfare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Holywell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llay Welfare than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Llay Welfare - Holywell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Roberts J. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Breese J. ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, Kamilo B. ⚽,
31', 2 - 2, Worrall M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', 2 - 3, Murray M. ⚽,
62', 2 - 4, Roberts J. ⚽,
77', 2 - 5, Cooke J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llay Welfare
Welsh Cymru North
17.08.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Llay Welfare	1:0 ✺
09.08.24	Colwyn Bay - Llay Welfare	1:1 ✺
06.08.24	Llay Welfare - Ruthin Town	3:5 ✺
Welsh League Cup
03.08.24	Holywell Town - Llay Welfare	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
26.07.24	Gresford Athletic - Llay Welfare	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLT
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
17.08.24	Mold Alexandra - Holywell Town	2:3 ✺
10.08.24	Buckley Town - Holywell Town	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Colwyn Bay - Holywell Town	2:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
03.08.24	Holywell Town - Llay Welfare	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
27.07.24	Holywell Town - Prestatyn Town	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
03.08.24	Holywell Town - Llay Welfare	3:1

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