Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 6

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Genis Steel Stadium (Melbourne)


	Preston Lions		Avondale

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.72	Watch
	2.31	3.76	2.79
	2.72	2.62	3.07	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.7
	2.27	3.4	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.1)	3.32 ↓ (3.62)	2.79 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston Lions
39.3%

Draw
27.7%

Avondale
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

25.4%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.2%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Preston Lions - Avondale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Preston Lions is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Avondale has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Preston Lions won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Preston Lions won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
13.03.26	Preston Lions - Caroline Springs George Cross	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Preston Lions - Heidelberg United	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Melbourne City Youth - Preston Lions	0:3 ✺
20.02.26	Preston Lions - St Albans Dinamo	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Preston Lions	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWWW
- Avondale FC
Australian NPL Victoria
14.03.26	Avondale - Dandenong City	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Dandenong Thunder - Avondale	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Avondale - Green Gully	5:0 ✺
20.02.26	Bentleigh Greens - Avondale	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Avondale - South Melbourne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Championship
14.11.25	Avondale - Preston Lions	1:1
24.10.25	Preston Lions - Avondale	0:0
Australian NPL Victoria
22.06.25	Preston Lions - Avondale	1:1
15.03.25	Avondale - Preston Lions	3:1

Preston Lions - Avondale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide