Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 23

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pretoria Callies		Venda

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.43	3	2.8
	2.48	2.84	3	Watch
	2.4	2.93	2.94
	2.43	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.28)	2.97 ↓ (3.25)	2.85 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pretoria Callies
37.7%

Draw
30.5%

Venda
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

27.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.4%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pretoria Callies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Venda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pretoria Callies than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venda than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Pretoria Callies - Venda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

Pretoria Callies is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Venda is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pretoria Callies won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Pretoria Callies won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pretoria Callies
South African First Division
14.03.25	Highbury - Pretoria Callies	0:0 ✺
11.03.25	Pretoria Callies - Casric Stars	0:3 ✺
22.02.25	Pretoria Callies - Black Leopards	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Pretoria Callies - Upington City	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	University of Pretoria - Pretoria Callies	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWLL
- Venda FA
South African First Division
15.03.25	Venda - JDR Stars	3:0 ✺
11.03.25	Venda - Cape Town Spurs	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Orbit College - Venda	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Venda - University of Pretoria	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Durban City - Venda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
05.05.24	Pretoria Callies - Venda	0:3
16.09.23	Venda - Pretoria Callies	1:1
01.04.23	Pretoria Callies - Venda	1:0
01.11.22	Venda - Pretoria Callies	1:0

Pretoria Callies - Venda