Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 18

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday


	Durban City		Venda

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.56	3.74	6.04
	1.54	3.65	6.1	Watch
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.62	3.61	5.68
	1.5	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	3.66 ↑ (3.53)	5.9 ↓ (7.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durban City
59.5%

Draw
25%

Venda
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

25.9%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

24.7%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durban City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Venda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venda than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Durban City - Venda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Kamatuka J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership and 14).

Durban City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Venda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Venda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Venda have a series of home games.

In this match Durban City is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Durban City to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Durban City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Durban City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Durban City
South African First Division
31.01.25	Durban City - Kruger United	1:0 ✺
17.01.25	Casric Stars - Durban City	1:0 ✺
10.01.25	Durban City - Hungry Lions	4:2 ✺
14.12.24	Milford - Durban City	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Durban City - Leruma United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW
- Venda FA
South African First Division
01.02.25	Venda - Baroka	5:1 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
25.01.25	Venda - Cape Town Spurs	1:3 ✺
South African First Division
19.01.25	Milford - Venda	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Venda - Black Leopards	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Venda - Highbury	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
30.04.24	Venda - Durban City	1:1
04.10.23	Durban City - Venda	5:1

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