The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Preußen Münster 27.3%
Draw 25.4%
Rot-Weiß Essen 47.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.4%
23.1%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
22.7%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Preußen Münster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rot-Weiß Essen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rot-Weiß Essen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Preußen Münster - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Behrens M. (G) 16. Paetow T. (C) 5. Zeller L. 4. Tikvic A. 43. Rosch R. 26. Maier P. 44. Althaus S. 36. Varelmann N. 14. Makridis C. 28. Ndikom M. 33. Higl F.
1. Golz J. (C) 37. Hofmann J. 15. Huning B. 23. Alonso J. 19. Bouebari F. 22. Sietan J. 26. Celebi E. 10. Obuz M. 17. Telalovic S. 14. Brumme L. 20. Janssen M.
Substitutes
6. Adeh W. 19. Demirhan M. 38. Harsmann M. (G) 2. Kolbe L. 27. Korte J. 8. Mees J. 21. Preissinger R. 30. Schulz M. 17. Stuhlmacher M.
18. Abiama D. 32. Bazzoli L. 7. Dardari A. 36. Gnagnon J. 2. Kostka M. 11. Pesch N. 9. Potocnik J. 16. Reisig R. 35. Wienand F. (G)
Coaches
Worle T.
Koschinat U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Ndikom M. ⚽, Higl F. (A),
20', Bouebari F. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Alonso J. (Own goal),
44', Sietan J. 🟨,
44', Hofmann J. 🟨,
44', Ndikom M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
60', 2 - 1, Janssen M. ⚽, Celebi E. (A),
62', Obuz M. ↓, Abiama D. ↑,
62', Celebi E. ↓, Pesch N. ↑,
68', Varelmann N. 🟨,
72', Hofmann J. ↓, Kostka M. ↑,
72', Brumme L. ↓, Dardari A. ↑,
74', Ndikom M. ↓, Mees J. ↑,
74', Makridis C. ↓, Kolbe L. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Alonso J. ⚽, Sietan J. (A),
82', 2 - 3, Telalovic S. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Janssen M. ↓, Reisig R. ↑,
86', Higl F. ↓, Stuhlmacher M. ↑,
87', 3 - 3, Mees J. ⚽, Zeller L. (A),
89', Althaus S. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
90', Rosch R. ↓, Demirhan M. ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 3rd in the Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Münster won 2.
In recent outings, Münster has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Rot-Weiß Essen is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rot-Weiß Essen is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Münster has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 0.8:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Münster against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).