Match Info

3. Liga - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schreiner S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	16:30	SportKlub 4
Germany	16:30	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
Slovenia	16:30	SportKlub 4
Usa	10:30	SportsEngine Play
International	14:30	OneFootball TV


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Viktoria Köln

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.50	3.20	Watch
	2.05	3.60	3.10
	1.85	3.80	3.50	Watch
	2.10	3.81	3.24
	1.81	4.3	3.5	Watch
	2.07	3.70	3.20
	2.03	3.64	3.33	Watch
	2.05	3.60	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.89)	3.74 ↓ (4.32)	3.28 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
46.8%

Draw
24.8%

Viktoria Köln
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

21.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

21.7%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Viktoria Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Rot Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Viktoria Köln will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (C) 37. Hofmann J. 15. Huning B. 6. Geschwill M. 19. Bouebari F. 22. Sietan J. 8. Menzel T. 10. Obuz M. 17. Telalovic S. 11. Pesch N. 9. Potocnik J.	1. Schulz A. (G) 19. Sponsel M. 6. Eisenhuth T. 18. Kloss T. 7. Tonye Y. 8. Duman T. 20. Swider N. 26. Jakob K. 44. Castelle N. H. 21. Wolf L. M. 10. Otto D. (C)
Substitutes
18. Abiama D. 23. Alonso J. 25. Batzner N. 32. Bazzoli L. 14. Brumme L. 26. Celebi E. 20. Janssen M. 2. Kostka M. 35. Wienand F. (G)	24. Amann J. 22. Boboy V. 28. Fallmann P. 16. Jahn N. 37. Maboulou N. 17. Pledl M. 30. Prokopenko A. 9. Sachse J. 12. Wyciok D. (G)
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Wilhelm M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Menzel T. ⚽, Pesch N. (A),
44', Geschwill M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Castelle N. H. ↓, Maboulou N. ↑,
46', Jakob K. ↓, Fallmann P. ↑,
63', Potocnik J. 🟨,
63', Obuz M. ↓, Abiama D. ↑,
63', Pesch N. ↓, Brumme L. ↑,
68', Tonye Y. ↓, Pledl M. ↑,
75', Menzel T. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
75', Potocnik J. ↓, Janssen M. ↑,
80', Sponsel M. 🟨,
81', Otto D. ↓, Sachse J. ↑,
81', Duman T. ↓, Prokopenko A. ↑,
85', Hofmann J. 🟨,
90+3', Telalovic S. ↓, Bazzoli L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Viktoria Köln has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Viktoria Koln	11	7	2	2	30:15	15	23
3	RW Essen	11	6	3	2	19:13	6	21

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

RW Essen: 19.01%

Last Results with these Odds

Rot-Weiß Essen - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.08%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
29.08.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - TSV Havelse	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWLL
- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
30.08.26	Viktoria Köln - Preußen Münster	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Viktoria Köln - Nürnberg	1:2 penalties ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
16.08.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Viktoria Köln	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Viktoria Köln - Jahn Regensburg	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Viktoria Köln - Elversberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
22.03.26	Viktoria Köln - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2
18.10.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	1:0
12.03.25	Viktoria Köln - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0
05.10.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	2:1
23.01.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	3:1
23.08.23	Viktoria Köln - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:0
13.02.23	Viktoria Köln - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0

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