Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CONFEDERATION CUP - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 2 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estádio da Cidadela (Luanda)


	Primeiro de Agosto		Modern Sport

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.87	2.6
	2.65	2.8	2.55
	2.7	2.85	2.6
	2.92	2.74	2.48
	2.62	2.88	2.6
	2.88	2.91	2.45
	2.7	2.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.63)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)	2.55 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Primeiro de Agosto
33%

Draw
31.7%

Modern Sport
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

33.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Primeiro de Agosto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Modern Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Primeiro de Agosto than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modern Sport than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Primeiro de Agosto - Modern Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Primeiro de Agosto will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Modern Sport will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Primeiro de Agosto: 2.5% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Primeiro de Agosto is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Future is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Primeiro de Agosto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Primeiro de Agosto
CAF Champions League
16.10.22	Simba - Primeiro de Agosto	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Primeiro de Agosto - Simba	1:3 ✺
Angolan Girabola
02.10.22	Bravos do Maquis - Primeiro de Agosto	0:1 ✺
28.09.22	Primeiro de Agosto - Cuando Cubango	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
18.09.22	Primeiro de Agosto - Red Arrows	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWTT
- Modern Sport FC
Egyptian Premier League
24.10.22	Modern Sport - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
20.10.22	Haras El-Hodood - Modern Sport	0:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
16.10.22	Modern Sport - Kallon	4:0 ✺
17.09.22	Modern Sport - Bul	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Bul - Modern Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWWT

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