Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 3

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Prisons		Kinondoni MC

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.58	4.51
	1.19	5.62	16.70	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.34)	3.87 ↑ (2.44)	8.61 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prisons
61.7%

Draw
26.4%

Kinondoni MC
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

36.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prisons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prisons's performance.

Kinondoni MC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kinondoni MC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Prisons - Kinondoni MC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Mussa M. (G) 27. Chanongo H. (C) 10. Juma J. 14. Kimenya S. 16. Masoud A. 47. Mhilu M. 49. Mwajanga O. 46. Sadock 60. Sengati K. 19. Shabani D. 23. Simba T.	34. Yassin H. (G) 8. Ally K. (C) 11. Chambo R. 3. Msonga H. 14. Mwijage E. 47. Nindi I. 30. Redemtus M. 19. Sagwe J. 32. Said A. 5. Shemvuni J. 50. Tondi K.
Substitutes
66. Miraji S. 8. Mtumbuka E. 32. Mwakisunga 50. Mwakyusa E. (G) 52. Mwasoko H. 3. Mwenda 20. Onyango H. 41. Rashid M. 26. Sabiyanka L. 35. Segeja A.	4. Ajibu I. 13. Anyimike B. 27. Athuman S. 6. Gambo I. 17. Kayombo E. . Mosha N. . Mpank I. (G) 23. Oscar P. 10. Saliboko D. 22. Tapioh G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Mwajanga O. ⚽,
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 1.

In recent matches, Kinondoni has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Prisons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Prisons could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Prisons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tanzania Prisons FC
Tanzanian Premier League
21.09.25	Namungo - Prisons	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Coastal Union - Prisons	1:0 ✺
30.06.25	Prisons - Singida Fountain Gate	3:1 ✺
22.06.25	Singida Black Stars - Prisons	3:3 ✺
18.06.25	Prisons - Young Africans	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWTL
- Kinondoni MC
Tanzanian Premier League
23.09.25	Kinondoni MC - Singida Black Stars	0:1 ✺
17.09.25	Kinondoni MC - Dodoma Jiji	1:0 ✺
CECAFA Clubs Cup
13.09.25	Singida Black Stars - Kinondoni MC	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	APR - Kinondoni MC	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Bumamuru Standard - Kinondoni MC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
02.04.25	Kinondoni MC - Prisons	3:2
26.10.24	Prisons - Kinondoni MC	1:2
12.04.24	Prisons - Kinondoni MC	1:1
27.10.23	Kinondoni MC - Prisons	1:1
06.06.23	Prisons - Kinondoni MC	1:0
28.11.22	Kinondoni MC - Prisons	0:0
14.06.22	Kinondoni MC - Prisons	1:1

Prisons - Kinondoni MC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide