Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 23

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Prisons		Singida Fountain Gate

	1	X	2
	2.09	2.91	3.45
	2.42	2.72	3.26	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.1
	2.31	2.85	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.32)	2.8 ↓ (2.9)	3.24 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prisons
39.8%

Draw
32.3%

Singida Fountain Gate
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

31.6%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prisons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Singida Fountain Gate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prisons than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Singida Fountain Gate than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Prisons - Singida Fountain Gate Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Prisons will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	28. Kilusomo M. (G)
	23. Awara O.
	11. Aziz I.
	69. Chuga J. B.
	30. David H.
	33. Hassan S.
	15. Mukombozi D. (C)
	12. Musa H.
	20. Mwanuke J.
	7. Obasi C.
	22. Said S.
Substitutes
	. Kasusku
	. Kindemile H.
	. Maneno L.
	. Mdoe
	55. Mey H.
	60. Mgunda S.
	46. Mpozi S.
	19. Mtambi A.
	. Razaq
	29. Shiga J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Mpole G. ⚽,
38', Ramadhan D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramadhan D. ↓, Mutinda M. ↑,
59', Ochu O. 🟨,
61', Musa H. ↓, Mgunda S. ↑,
65', Mutinda M. 🟨,
71', Obasi C. ↓, Razaq ↑,
71', Said S. ↓, Hashim O. ↑,
85', Kaboma N. ↓, Chanongo H. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 3.

Prisons is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Singida FG has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Singida FG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Singida FG has had a series of home games.

Prisons is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Prisons won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Fountain Gate	6	1	1	4	2:9	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tanzania Prisons FC
Tanzanian Premier League
10.05.26	Simba - Prisons	4:0 ✺
04.05.26	Prisons - Mbeya City	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Prisons - TRA United	0:3 ✺
14.04.26	Kinondoni MC - Prisons	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Young Africans - Prisons	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTL
- Singida Fountain Gate
Tanzanian Premier League
05.05.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Coastal Union	3:2 ✺
30.04.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Pamba	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Mtibwa Sugar	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Simba	0:3 ✺
Tanzanian Federation Cup
12.04.26	Azam - Singida Fountain Gate	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
26.11.25	Singida Fountain Gate - Prisons	1:0
30.06.25	Prisons - Singida Fountain Gate	3:1
26.02.25	Singida Fountain Gate - Prisons	1:0
01.10.24	Prisons - Singida Fountain Gate	3:2
15.02.24	Prisons - Singida Fountain Gate	3:1
22.08.23	Singida Fountain Gate - Prisons	0:0
17.12.22	Prisons - Singida Fountain Gate	1:2

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