Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Relegation - Final

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Sokoine Stadium (Mbeya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Prisons		Polisi Tanzania

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.00	2.70
	3.05	2.92	2.25
	1.76	4.24	3.53	Watch
	1.6	4.24	4.15
	1.6	4.25	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.44)	3.73 ↑ (3)	3.26 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prisons
45.6%

Draw
25.4%

Polisi Tanzania
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prisons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prisons's performance.

Polisi Tanzania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.3%	6.5%	3.2%

Prisons - Polisi Tanzania Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Prisons will win (votes: 28 - 90.3%). Polisi Tanzania will win (votes: 1 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Prisons: 79.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Prisons will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 2.

Prisons has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Prisons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Prisons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Prisons won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Polisi Tanzania	6	3	1	2	9:7	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Prisons - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.25%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tanzania Prisons FC
Tanzanian Premier League
12.07.26	Polisi Tanzania - Prisons	4:0 ✺
08.07.26	Prisons - Mbeya City	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Prisons - Mbeya City	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	JKT Tanzania - Prisons	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Prisons - Dodoma Jiji	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTLWW
- Polisi Tanzania FC
Tanzanian Premier League
12.07.26	Polisi Tanzania - Prisons	4:0 ✺
09.06.23	Azam - Polisi Tanzania	8:0 ✺
06.06.23	Simba - Polisi Tanzania	6:1 ✺
15.05.23	Polisi Tanzania - Mtibwa Sugar	3:1 ✺
21.04.23	Polisi Tanzania - Singida Black Stars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
12.07.26	Polisi Tanzania - Prisons	4:0
19.02.23	Polisi Tanzania - Prisons	1:0
25.10.22	Prisons - Polisi Tanzania	2:0
01.05.22	Prisons - Polisi Tanzania	1:0
04.12.21	Polisi Tanzania - Prisons	1:0
18.04.21	Polisi Tanzania - Prisons	1:2
31.10.20	Prisons - Polisi Tanzania	0:1

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