Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pro Livorno Sorgenti		Bagnolese

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.5
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.41	3.4	2.5
	2.4	3.44	2.57
	2.4	3.3	2.5
	2.44	3.34	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.02)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.55 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Livorno Sorgenti
37.8%

Draw
26.8%

Bagnolese
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

18.7%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Livorno Sorgenti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Livorno Sorgenti's form might have worsened.

Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bagnolese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Livorno Sorgenti than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Livorno Sorgenti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bagnolese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Bagnolese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A).

Pro Livorno has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bagnolese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pro Livorno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Livorno Sorgenti
Italian Serie D - Group D
17.04.21	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Mezzolara	0:1 ✺
14.04.21	Rimini - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	4:1 ✺
10.04.21	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Lentigione	1:1 ✺
01.04.21	Sasso Marconi - Pro Livorno Sorgenti	3:2 ✺
27.03.21	Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- GS Bagnolese
Italian Serie D - Group D
05.05.21	Sasso Marconi - Bagnolese	2:2 ✺
02.05.21	Bagnolese - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:1 ✺
21.04.21	Real Forte Querceta - Bagnolese	1:2 ✺
18.04.21	Bagnolese - Lentigione	0:0 ✺
28.03.21	Bagnolese - Progresso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTWTL

Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Bagnolese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Bagnolese Predictions

Preview

Form

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