The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pro Livorno Sorgenti 37.8%
Draw 26.8%
Bagnolese 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
26.6%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
18.7%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Livorno Sorgenti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Livorno Sorgenti's form might have worsened.
Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bagnolese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Livorno Sorgenti than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Livorno Sorgenti that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bagnolese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pro Livorno Sorgenti - Bagnolese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A).
Pro Livorno has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Bagnolese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pro Livorno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
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