Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Bagnolese		Progresso

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.16	3.1	2.9
	2.08	2.99	2.97
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.15	3.3	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.3)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bagnolese
41.9%

Draw
28.7%

Progresso
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.6%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

20.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bagnolese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Progresso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bagnolese - Progresso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

The competitors look crappy now.

Bagnolese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bagnolese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bagnolese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Bagnolese
Italian Serie D - Group D
07.11.21	Forlì - Bagnolese	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Bagnolese - Tritium	3:1 ✺
24.10.21	Ravenna - Bagnolese	2:1 ✺
20.10.21	Bagnolese - Prato	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Bagnolese - Lentigione	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
07.11.21	Progresso - Seravezza Pozzi	0:1 ✺
31.10.21	Lentigione - Progresso	2:0 ✺
24.10.21	Progresso - Athletic Carpi	1:1 ✺
20.10.21	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Progresso	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Progresso - Alcione	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
28.03.21	Bagnolese - Progresso	1:2

Bagnolese - Progresso

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Bagnolese - Progresso Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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