Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 38

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)


	Pro Sesto		Ciliverghe di Mazzano

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.33
	1.64	3.7	4.5
	1.68	3.46	4.51
	1.67	3.5	4.68
	1.64	3.7	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	4.5 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Sesto
54.7%

Draw
25.2%

Ciliverghe di Mazzano
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.8%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

21.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ciliverghe di Mazzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Sesto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciliverghe di Mazzano than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Pro Sesto - Ciliverghe di Mazzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Borgo A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Scidone G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 2 - 1, Guerrisi A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Pro Sesto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ciliverghe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Pro Sesto is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pro Sesto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
27.04.25	Vigasio - Pro Sesto	3:2 ✺
17.04.25	Pro Sesto - Crema	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Ospitaletto - Pro Sesto	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Pro Sesto - Club Milano	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Pro Sesto - Folgore Caratese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL
- ASDP Ciliverghe di Mazzano
Italian Serie D - Group B
27.04.25	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Folgore Caratese - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	5:0 ✺
13.04.25	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - SantAngelo	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Desenzano Calvina - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - Chievo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
22.12.24	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - Pro Sesto	1:2
17.04.16	Ciliverghe di Mazzano - Pro Sesto	0:0

Pro Sesto - Ciliverghe di Mazzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide