Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 33

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SI Solo Calcio


	Pro Sesto		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	2.75	3.3	2.31
	2.78	3.22	2.33
	2.75	3.3	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.44)	3.26 ↓ (3.3)	2.31 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Sesto
33%

Draw
27.8%

Folgore Caratese
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

27.8%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

26.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Sesto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Sesto's performance.

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Folgore Caratese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Sesto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folgore Caratese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pro Sesto - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Cocola N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, Lipari F. ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 2.

Recent matches Pro Sesto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Folgore Caratese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Folgore Caratese have a series of home games.

Folgore Caratese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Sesto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.03.25	Cavenago Fanfulla - Pro Sesto	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Pro Sesto - SantAngelo	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Pro Sesto - Chievo	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Varesina - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Pro Sesto - Sangiuliano City Nova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLLW
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.03.25	Folgore Caratese - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Cavenago Fanfulla - Folgore Caratese	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Folgore Caratese - Breno	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
17.11.24	Folgore Caratese - Pro Sesto	2:1
27.10.19	Folgore Caratese - Pro Sesto	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.04.18	Pro Sesto - Folgore Caratese	4:1
10.12.17	Folgore Caratese - Pro Sesto	2:1
19.02.17	Pro Sesto - Folgore Caratese	2:0
15.10.16	Folgore Caratese - Pro Sesto	1:3
Italian Serie D - Group B
06.03.16	Folgore Caratese - Pro Sesto	0:0

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