Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 7

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Probiy Horodenka		Vorskla Poltava

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.37	2.37	Watch
	3.47	3.12	2.04
	3.5	3.2	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.73)	3.23 ↑ (3.07)	2.12 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Probiy Horodenka
28.5%

Draw
28.4%

Vorskla Poltava
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Probiy Horodenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Vorskla Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vorskla Poltava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Probiy Horodenka - Vorskla Poltava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 3. Bilyi I. (C) 31. Borysevych R. 30. Felipovych V. 22. Gavrylyuk N. 16. Guk I. 15. Kharuk R. 10. Orynchak B. 77. Palagnyuk V. 5. Savchyn V. 7. Sikach M.	1. Lavuta K. (G) 11. Baydal A. 9. Burenko M. 14. Chibueze P. 77. Chidomere A. 21. Dvorovenko V. 97. Korablin T. 5. Prikhna D. (C) 23. Shershen M. 8. Tatarkov M. 7. Voytsekhovskyi V.
Substitutes
90. Babanin V. 12. Barabanov V. (G) 19. Dmytruk I. 23. Drekalo A. 8. Drygan B. 26. Golodryga R. 6. Ivanychuk V. 44. Pasichnyk V. 9. Pylypchuk D. 1. Serdyuk R. (G) 11. Sondey I. 17. Volynets D.	20. Andrushchenko M. 29. Chervak V. 2. Dmytruk T. 32. Romanenko D. 17. Semotyuk V. 99. Serdyuk A. 31. Vasetskyi B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Voytsekhovskyi V. ⚽,
63', 0 - 2, Andrushchenko M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Vorskla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.09.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Probiy Horodenka	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Probiy Horodenka - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Probiy Horodenka	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Probiy Horodenka - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.25	Probiy Horodenka - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLTLL
- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
14.09.25	Vorskla Poltava - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Inhulets - Vorskla Poltava	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Vorskla Poltava - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Vorskla Poltava	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Vorskla Poltava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLT

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