Match Info
Serie D - Group D - Round 7Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Progresso |
|
Imolese |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.82 |
3 |
2.35 |
|
 |
2.97 |
3 |
2.29 |
|
 |
2.92 |
3.05 |
2.40 |
 Watch |
 |
3.01 |
2.98 |
2.32 |
|
 |
2.58 |
3.15 |
2.54 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↓
(3.1) |
3.04 ↓
(3.25) |
2.38 ↑
(2.08) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Progresso
31.8% | Draw
30% | Imolese
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Imolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Imolese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Imolese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Progresso - Imolese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Rizzi M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).Progresso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Imolese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Progresso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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