Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Progresso		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.45	2.13
	3.33	3.00	2.21	Watch
	3.62	3.1	2.12
	3.6	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.81)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.12 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progresso
27.4%

Draw
29.1%

Desenzano Calvina
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

29.1%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Progresso - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Desenzano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Desenzano might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Progresso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
20.09.25	Progresso - Tropical Coriano	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Progresso - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Ravenna - Progresso	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.05.25	Progresso - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Prato - Progresso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 TLTWW
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
24.09.25	Desenzano Calvina - Correggese	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Tuttocuoio - Desenzano Calvina	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Desenzano Calvina - Pro Palazzolo	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Piacenza - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.05.25	Pro Palazzolo - Desenzano Calvina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
02.02.20	Desenzano Calvina - Progresso	5:0
29.09.19	Progresso - Desenzano Calvina	1:0

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